Posted by
Rich from Paso on Friday, May 16, 2008 10:06:17 PM
Let me frame the events of the past few weeks for I think is coming down the pike.
First, let's start with Bush's speech at the Knesset. The Democrats are totally fixated on Bush supposedly comparing Obama to the appeasers prior to WWII. They are wrong and were completely distracted by Republican presidential candidate, John McCain, using the opportunity of Bush's speech to score political points on the talking point that Obama is too inexperienced to be trusted as Commander-in-Chief. They are two separate incidents that pinheads like Keith Olberman have linked together. The point of Bush's speech was to illustrate that you can't talk to people who want to kill you. You have to remain ever vigilant to them as they plot and scheme your demise. The people you can't talk to are the Iranians, Hezbollah and Hamas, just to name a few. However, there are bad guys in the world you can talk to. Kaddafi and Kim Jung Il are two of those people. Whether it is opportunity or mutual need, the U.S. has successfully dismantled Libya's nuclear program and are in the process of negotiating the dismantling of N. Korea's program.
So, here is where we stand. You can talk to Libya and N. Korea, but you shouldn't and can't talk to Iran, Hezbollah or Hamas.
Remember back when future President McCain was touring the Middle East and Europe looking all presidential as he spoke at different places? When he was in Jordan, he made a 'gaffe' that al Qaida was in Iran and Joe Liebermann corrected him. Do you remember that? Well, that wasn't a gaffe. I think that 'gaffe' was McCain letting slip intelligence on Iran; that al Qaida and Iran are in cahoots together. Also, Bush ordered war planners to start coming up with plans to attack Iran if they don't dismantle their nuclear program. Not a coincidence. Factor in the nuclear station the Israelis blew up several months ago in Syria. Factor in all of the evidence that directly links the Iranian government to the deadly IED and EFP attacks on our servicemen that has resulted in hundreds, if not thousands, of dead in Iraq and then consider the 2 carrier battle groups in the Persian Gulf. The stage has been set.
Bush is setting the stage for an air campaign reminiscent of the Yugoslavia air campaign under Clinton to neutralize Iran's nuclear program, take out the terrorist training camps in Iran and reduce the power projection capabilities of the Iranian military against its neighbors, especially Iraq.
This attack will be preceded by an intense 'diplomatic' effort by Condi Rice and her European counterparts. It will last throughout July and August. At the end of August or perhaps as late as after Labor Day, Bush will come on national TV and state unequivocally that:
1) Iran is at war with the U.S. using their Quads Force in Iraq to fight through proxies to kill U.S. servicemen and destabilize Iraq.
2) Iran is harboring key al Qaida figures, probably Zawahiri (how else are these tapes getting onto the internet? Caves don't get the internet) maybe even bin Laden himself.
3) Iran is developing a nuclear device to give to al Qaida to destroy an Israeli city, probably Tel Aviv, in an effort to galvanize the Palestinians and the Arab world at large to destroy Israel once and for all.
4) Iran has been directly funding Hamas and Hezbollah to kill Israelis and to further the goals of the destruction Israel. There will be a massive media campaign by the administration laying all of the unclassified documents on the table to get ahead of the "flawed Iraqi intelligence" comparisons that the DNC and their surrogates at NBC make will make in an effort to derail the negative P.R. campaign to prevent the attack.
I foresee this attack coming sometime in September. It will start off as a swift, massive, in the dead of night, aerial bombardment with all of our Stealth bombers and F-22 Raptors taking out Iranian ADA and fighter assets. The Stealth attacks will be followed by B-52 bomber runs from Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean on the nuclear facilities. We might even get to see the MOAB (Mother of all Bombs) in action. While this bombing campaign is going on, there will be a huge offensive in Iraq to round up and destroy as many of the terrorists and militias in and around Baghdad and Mosul as possible.
There will be little in terms of condemnation from the Arab world because Iranians are Persian not Arab.
I'm sure some are saying that the al Qaida-Iran link is just a flimsy as the al Qaida-Iraq link was. Possibly, but consider for a second that people are not clever enough, especially these guys, to make something up out of whole cloth without having something to point to as the genesis of the argument. Here at http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8330976 , is an article going back to 2005 describing al Qaida members receiving protection inside Iran. There are many more from sources like here at the The Seattle Times( http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2001994661_iranterror02.html ) and another from MSNBC (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8330976/print/1/displaymode/1098/ ) .Also, the same Sunni-Shia argument made to counter the Iraq-al Qaida link, will be made during this attack that since Iran is Shia and Al Qaida professes to be Sunni, that there can't be an alliance. We'll shall see.
You can doubt me all you want, but I ask those that know me from the other blog I post on at http://920kvec.blogspot.com/ "The Dave Congalton Show" in San Luis Obispo, CA. Go and look at events recently and what I have posted on that blog. I said that Obama was no different than Neville Chamberlain. What did Bush say? People wanting to talk to terrorists are no different than the senators that wanted to talk to Hitler at the start of WWII. I said that McCain should say that U.S. troops will be out of Iraq by the end of the McCain presidency. What did John McCain say? He said that all U.S. troops will be out of Iraq in January 2013, after the term (first or not) of a McCain Administration.
You can say I'm wrong, you can hope I'm wrong, but in the end, I think you all will be marveling at how right I am.